Galaxy Research Cuts CLARITY Act Passage Odds to 30%
News-screening summary only. This is not investment advice and does not confirm market response.
Galaxy Research has lowered its CLARITY Act passage probability from 50% to 30% for 2026, as the 616-page Senate bill faces unresolved bipartisan disputes over ethics provisions and vote math, reducing near-term prospects for a comprehensive U.S. crypto market structure framework.
- Status
- Active
- Confirmation
- Confirmed
- Event type
- REGULATORY_ACTION
- Market scope
- MARKET
- Direction
- 0
- Impact / urgency
- 3 / 3
- Impact category
- MATERIAL
- Risk stance
- NEUTRAL
- Promotion
- CONTEXT · 67/100
- Promotion reason
- Authority-weighted assessment across 4 linked sources.
- Duration class
- SWING
- Assets
- None listed
- Sectors
- Cryptocurrency, DeFi, Digital Assets, Regulatory/Legal
- First detected
- Impact started
- Scheduled for
- Not published
- Occurred at
Sources
CLARITY Act Passage Odds Cut to 30% as Senate Vote Faces Challenges
Bitcoin.com News · ESTABLISHED_MEDIA · Best available
NY Attorney General Letitia James warns Clarity Act would ‘dilute’ states’ ability to go after fraud as pressure mounts
The Block — RSS · ESTABLISHED_MEDIA · Update
Democratic Senator Backs Clarity Act — With Proposed Law Enforcement Changes Included: Report
Bitcoin Magazine · ESTABLISHED_MEDIA · Update
Republican Senator Cynthia Lummis Slams Democrat Lawmakers For Dragging Their Feet Over Clarity Act
Bitcoin Magazine · ESTABLISHED_MEDIA · Update